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Bitcoin Halving Dates: What You Need To Know About The Next Bitcoin Halving

Published
June 29, 2021
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    There are about 18,715,050 million Bitcoins already in circulation as of May 2021. This leaves just 2,284,950 million left to be released via mining rewards. The next Bitcoin halving is most likely to occur in 2024 and could have a dramatic impact on the cryptocurrency’s price.

    In this article, we go over everything you need to know about Bitcoin halving – including what it is, why it’s happening, and how you can trade it.

    What Is Bitcoin Halving?

    Bitcoin halving is an event where the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks is cut in half, resulting in miners receiving 50% fewer Bitcoins for verifying transactions. Bitcoin halving occurs every 210,000 blocks which translates to approximately every 4 years.  

    In other words, this is Bitcoin's way of using a synthetic form of inflation that halves every four years until all Bitcoin is released and is in circulation.

    How Does Bitcoin Halving Work?

    Bitcoin halving works because of its network's underlying blockchain technology software which dictates the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The software requires computers in the blockchain network to compete to verify transactions known as Bitcoin mining.

    Bitcoin mining rewards the miners with several new Bitcoins when they can prove that the transactions that have been selected by them are valid. These transactions are verified in groups known as blocks, and the blockchain network is coded to halve the reward received by miners every 210,000 blocks.

    What Is The Significance Of Bitcoin Halving?

    Bitcoin halving decreases the number of new Bitcoins that are generated per block which lowers the supply of new Bitcoins, thus making the purchase price of the coin more expensive. 

    Going by the general rule of Economics—lower supply with steady demand is supposed to result in higher pricing. Halving usually precedes some of Bitcoin's largest runs as it reduces the supply of new Bitcoins while the demand remains steady.

    What Is A Bitcoin Halving Chart?

    A Bitcoin halving chart is used to study Bitcoin's inflation rate within a specific time period. It also shows how much Bitcoin's inflation rates are lowered with each halving.

    bitcoin halving chart

    Bitcoin Halving Schedule: When Is The Next Bitcoin Halving?

    Now that we have gone over everything there is to know about Bitcoin halving, the most obvious question that comes to mind next is "When is Bitcoin halving?" The answer to when the next Bitcoin halving dates are cannot be predicted as they depend on block height.

    But we do know that halving happens every 210,000 blocks, so the next halving date is estimated to occur in 2024 on block 840,000.

    What Is The Impact Of Bitcoin Halving On Bitcoin's Price?

    Though already stated that Bitcoin halving could result in higher prices, one cannot ascertain the impact halving would have on the future price of Bitcoin. Investors believe that price movements follow a similar pattern of previous halving events. However, after future halving events, Bitcoin's price will depend on how its demand shapes up throughout the halving. (This sentence doesn’t make sense, please revise.)

    It is important to know that demand does not necessarily mean that there will be an increase in price or even a stagnant price. The crypto market has been maturing significantly since the last halving in 2016, and there are now more cryptocurrencies competing for users.

    Bitcoin Halving Dates So Far

    Let’s quickly take a look at the previous Bitcoin halving events and patterns.

    2012 Bitcoin Halving

    The first halving happened on November 28th, 2012.

    • New Bitcoin per block (Before): 50 BTC per block
    • New Bitcoin per block (After): 25 BTC per block
    • Price on Halving Day: $12.35
    • Price 150 Days Later: $127.00

    2016 Bitcoin Halving

    The second halving occurred on July 9th, 2016.

    • New Bitcoin per block (Before): 25 BTC per block
    • New Bitcoin per block (After): 12.5 BTC per block
    • Price on Halving Day: $650.63
    • Price 150 Days Later: $758.81

    2020 Bitcoin Halving

    The third halving occurred on May 11, 2020.

    • New Bitcoin per block (Before): 12.5 BTC per block
    • New Bitcoin per block (After): 6.25 BTC per block
    • Price on Halving Day: $8821.42
    • Price 150 Days Later: $10,943.00

    In the following table, we have summarized the patterns of Bitcoin halving events into categories like block number, block rewards, and percentage of Bitcoin mined.

    Event Date Block Block Reward Mined In Period % Mined
    First Halving November 28th, 2012 210,000 25 5,250,000 75
    Second Halving July 9th, 2016 420,000 12.5 2,625,000 87.5
    Third Halving May 11, 2020 630,000 6.25 1,312,500 93.75

    Expected Upcoming Bitcoin Halving Dates: 2024 and Beyond

    2024 Bitcoin Halving

    • Expected: 2024
    • Block number: 740,000
    • Block reward: 3.125 new BTC
    • Total new Bitcoins: 656,250 BTC

    2028 Bitcoin Halving

    • Expected: 2028
    • Block number: 850,000
    • Block reward: 1.5625 new BTC
    • Total new Bitcoins: 328,125 BTC

    In this table, we have listed the upcoming Bitcoin halving events and categorized them into block number, block reward, and percentage mined.

    Event Date Block Block Reward Mined In Period % Mined
    Fourth Halving 2024 840,000 3.125 656,250 96.875
    Fifth Halving 2028 1,050,000 1.5625 328,125 98.4375
    Sixth Halving 2032 1,260,000 0.78125 164,062.5 99.21875

    From the above table, it can be determined that the amount of Bitcoin mined and the block reward drops by half at every halving event. 

    Over 99% of Bitcoin will have been mined by 2032 and crypto analysts estimate that by 2140, 100% of the total amount of Bitcoin will be mined.

    What Is The Bitcoin Block Reward In 2021?

    At present, the Bitcoin block subsidy is 6.25 BTC per block. The subsidy will drop to 3.125 Bitcoins (BTC) per block when block 840,000 is hit in 2024.

    Tips To Trade During Bitcoin Halving

    There are two ways to trade during Bitcoin’s halving.

    1. Speculate on the price of the cryptocurrency using derivatives such as CFDs
    2. Buy the coins outright via an exchange

    Trading cryptocurrencies with derivatives such as CFDs enables you to:

    • Trade without an exchange account or wallet
    • Go long or short
    • Take advantage of leverage

    The Bottom Line

    Even though there’s nothing that can be done during or after the Bitcoin halving countdown, it’s always a good idea to find a reliable platform that has a proven track record to trade Bitcoin. It is also important to follow patterns of previous halving events for a clearer understanding of what's to come.

    FAQs

    1. When is Bitcoin halving?

    The next Bitcoin halving dates cannot be predicted as they depend on block height. However, since halving happens every 210,000 blocks, the next halving is estimated to occur in 2024 on block 840,000.

    2. How can I trade over the course of Bitcoin halving?

    The easiest way to trade Bitcoin over the course of the halving is through derivatives such as contracts for difference (CFDs). CFDs enable you to speculate on Bitcoin price movements without having to take ownership of the underlying coins. Another alternative is buying Bitcoins through an exchange. To do this, you will need to set up an exchange account and take responsibility for securing your cryptocurrency tokens in a wallet. Any profits that you incur in this trading would also be subject to crypto taxes.

    3. Is Bitcoin halving bad?

    Bitcoin halving is Bitcoin's way of using a synthetic form of inflation that halves every four years until all Bitcoin is released and is in circulation. This also means that miners receive 50% fewer Bitcoins for verifying transactions every fourth year when the halving happens.

    4. Can I make money from the BTC halving?

    Yes, it is possible to make money from Bitcoin halving. You can do this by speculating on Bitcoin's price movements in the weeks and months around the event. Contracts for difference (CFD) is a popular way to speculate on Bitcoin price movement as it enables you to go either long or short.

    5. When will all 21 million Bitcoins be mined?

    All 21 million Bitcoins (BTC) will be mined by 2140, but more than 98% will be mined by 2030.

    6. Who are Bitcoin miners?

    Bitcoin miners solve complex mathematical problems and confirm the legitimacy of crypto transactions. They then add these transactions to a block and create chains of these blocks of transactions, forming the blockchain. When a block is filled up with transactions, the miners that processed and confirmed the transactions within a block are rewarded with Bitcoin.

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